chanceâtake it.â What do you do? Okay, you have two objects: one is worth a dollar more than the other, and they are worth a dollar ten total. How much is each object worth?
DAVID: Unless Iâm missing something, isnât one object a dollar and the other a dime?
CALEB: Thatâs a difference of ninety. Oneâs worth a hundred and five. The otherâs worth five.
DAVID: True that.
CALEB: You have doors A, B, and C. Behind two of the doors are goats and behind one is a car. You pick door A. The announcer goes to door B and opens it: itâs a goat. He asks you if you want to take door C or keep door A. Should you switch doors?
DAVID: The guy could be lying, so what difference does it make?
CALEB: Assume heâs not. Three doors: behind two are goats, and behind oneâs a car. Whatever door you pick, you get whatâs behind.
DAVID: And you want a car?
CALEB: No, you live in the Himalayas and want a goat. When you pick door A, he opens door B and thereâs a goat, and he hasnât opened door A or C yet, but he gives you the option of switching from A to C. Do you switch?
DAVID: I gotcha.
CALEB: Do you switch?
DAVID: To door C? Umm, I would say no. Iâd stay.
CALEB: Wrong. If you switch, youâll have a two-in-three chance of getting the car. If you stay, you have a one-in-three chance.
DAVID: Isnât there still, at this point, an equal one-in-two chance?
CALEB: No. You switch and you always have a two-in-three chance of getting the car.
DAVID: Is that really true?
CALEB: By switching, you can expatiate your wrongness two out of three times.
DAVID: Iâm not sure âexpatiateâ is the right word.
CALEB: You have to switch.
DAVID: Are these math puzzles?
CALEB: Math and logic.
DAVID: Are you good at math?
CALEB: I scored two hundred points higher in math than verbal on the SAT. I was an average English student.
DAVID: I barely passed trigonometry. Hearing all these logic puzzles makes me think about something a student told me the other day about David Wagoner. Did you ever study poetry with him?
CALEB: No.
DAVID: Perfect example of misapplied logic.
CALEB: Hold that thought. Iâve got to pee.
DAVID: When Wagoner taught, he required his students to present their work by reading it aloud in class. That way he wouldnât have to read their work on his own time.
When Wagoner retired ten years ago or so, David Guterson got up and told a funny story about how whenever he tried to track down Wagoner for a response to his work, Wagoner would say, âJust keep writing.â Guterson pretended that Wagoner was actually providing deep Buddhisticwisdom, forcing the apprentice back onto his own resources. Wagoner stalked out of the ceremony, furious.
The story this student told me was that Wagoner advised his grad students, âDonât smoke. Donât drink. Donât do drugs. Donât have too many sexual partners. Be a cautious, risk-averse person becauseâlook at meâIâm eighty-four, I still have this mane of silver hair, and Iâm still cogent and writing poems and you, too, if youâre lucky, at eighty-four, canââ
CALEB: I saw this blog once that posted a list of keys to being a writer and one was not drinking.
DAVID: Thatâs such an inadequate response to existence, and Wagonerâs work suffers from exactly the same caution: every poem he writes is about how he took a walk in the woods and came across a snake or a dying ember, which turns out to be a symbol of something or other. I know Iâm guilty at times of being overly careful about health and food, etc., but even I know the point of life canât be to die at ninety-two safe and secure in your jammies.
CALEB: This girl, a friend from Whidbey Island, Samantha, had a fling with Harvâhis name is Harvey, but we call him Harv. Itâs a good story and happened here in Sky when Harv was staying out here. And before I begin