destroyed is close to an institutional imperative.â 28 Explain.
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It is an institutional imperative. By imperative, I donât mean itâs a law of nature. You can change it. But given the way institutions now function, their core goal is to maximize short-term profit and power. That is a critical element for the core of decision makers in the economy and the societyâand, therefore, in the political system. And that leads almost directly to destruction of the environment. In fact, we can see it right in front of us. The threat is quite serious. The major agencies that monitor global emissions have released very ominous predictions. The International Energy Association (IEA) released data which their own chief economists concluded give us maybe five more years before we reach a turning point that will be irreversible. 29
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Fatih Birol, chief IEA economist, has said, âThe door is closingâ¦. I am very worriedâif we donât change direction now on how we use energy, we will end up beyond what scientists tell us is the minimum [for safety]. The door will be closed forever.â 30
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The IEA is a pretty conservative agency. This is not a bunch of radicals. In fact, it was formed through the initiative of Henry Kissinger. I havenât seen much reporting about it, but one of the few news articles quoted John Reilly, the codirector of MITâs Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, who also said that the IPCC estimates were too low. 31 âThe more we talk about the need to control emissions, the more they are growing,â he warned, and if we donât do something very quickly about fossil fuels weâre going to be over the edge. âIncreasing reliance on coal is imperiling the world,â he added. Again, this is not coming from far-out radicals but from major institutions, leading scientists.
Itâs interesting to watch the way climate change is discussed in the media. Itâs usually presented as a he-says-she-says issue. On the one hand, you have the IPCC. On the other hand, you have a handful of scientists and a couple of senators who say, âWe donât believe any of it.â Thatâs the choice. Actually, there is a third set of scientists, who almost never make it into print, and itâs much larger than the fringe of denialists: people who say that the consensus is much too conservative, that the risks are much higher. People like the ones who run the MIT program I mentioned or the chief economist of the International Energy Association. But they are ignored, and we almost never hear their views. And the public is left with a choice between two positions, which theyâre in no position to make a judgment about.
On top of that, you have a huge propaganda offensive from the business sector, saying, âDonât believe any of it. None of it is real.â A little to my surprise, this has even affected the more serious and responsible parts of the business press, like the Financial Times, maybe the best newspaper in the world. Just at the time that these emissions reports were coming out, the Financial Times euphorically suggested that the United States was entering a new age of plenty and might have a century of energy independence, even global hegemony, ahead of it thanks to the new techniques of extracting fossil fuels from shale rock and tar sands. 32 Leaving aside the debates about whether these predictions are right or wrong, celebrating this prospect is like saying, âFine, letâs commit suicide.â Iâm sure the people who write such articles have read the same climate change reports I have and take them seriously. But their institutional role makes such positions a social or cultural necessity. They could make different decisions, but that would require real rethinking of the nature of our institutions.
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The propaganda barrage has been effective. As Naomi Klein writes in the Nation,